Search results for " model selection"
showing 8 items of 8 documents
A generalized predictive criterion for model selection
2002
Given a random sample from some unknown model belonging to a finite class of parametric models, assume that the estimate of the density of a future observation is of interest San Martini & Spezzaferri (1984) proposed for this problem a predictive criterion based on the logarithmic utility function. The present authors investigate a generalization of this criterion that uses as a loss function an element of the class of α-divergences discussed by Ali & Silvey (1966) and Csiszar (1967). They also discuss briefly the case in which the class of models considered is not exhaustive. Un critere de prevision generalise pour la selection de modeles Supposons que l'on cherche a estimer la densite d'u…
Stochastic models for wind speed forecasting
2011
Abstract This paper is concerned with the problem of developing a general class of stochastic models for hourly average wind speed time series. The proposed approach has been applied to the time series recorded during 4 years in two sites of Sicily, a region of Italy, and it has attained valuable results in terms both of modelling and forecasting. Moreover, the 24 h predictions obtained employing only 1-month time series are quite similar to those provided by a feed-forward artificial neural network trained on 2 years data.
A new tuning parameter selector in lasso regression
2019
Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to carry out variable selction and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performance largely depend on the tuning parameter that balances the trade-off between model fitting and sparsity. In this work we introduce a new tuning parameter selction criterion based on the maximization of the signal-to-noise ratio. To prove its effectiveness we applied it to a real data on prostate cancer disease.
Variable selection in mixed models: a graphical approach
2014
Model selection can be defined as the task of estimating the performance of dif- ferent models in order to choose the (approximate) best one. The purpose of this article is to introduce an extension of the graphical representation of deviance proposed in the framework of classical and generalized linear models to the wider class of mixed models. The proposed plot is useful in determining which are the important explanatory variables conditioning on the random effects part. The applicability and the easy interpretation of the graph are illus- trated with a real data examples.
A computational method to estimate sparse multiple Gaussian graphical models
2012
In recent years several researchers have proposed the use of the Gaussian graphical model defined on a high dimensional setting to explore the dependence relationships between random variables. Standard methods, usually proposed in literature, are based on the use of a specific penalty function, such as the L1-penalty function. In this paper our aim is to estimate and compare two or more Gaussian graphical models defined in a high dimensional setting. In order to accomplish our aim, we propose a new computational method, based on glasso method, which lets us to extend the notion of p-value.
Model selection in linear mixed-effect models
2019
Linear mixed-effects models are a class of models widely used for analyzing different types of data: longitudinal, clustered and panel data. Many fields, in which a statistical methodology is required, involve the employment of linear mixed models, such as biology, chemistry, medicine, finance and so forth. One of the most important processes, in a statistical analysis, is given by model selection. Hence, since there are a large number of linear mixed model selection procedures available in the literature, a pressing issue is how to identify the best approach to adopt in a specific case. We outline mainly all approaches focusing on the part of the model subject to selection (fixed and/or ra…
Bayesian versus data driven model selection for microarray data
2014
Clustering is one of the most well known activities in scientific investigation and the object of research in many disciplines, ranging from Statistics to Computer Science. In this beautiful area, one of the most difficult challenges is a particular instance of the model selection problem, i.e., the identification of the correct number of clusters in a dataset. In what follows, for ease of reference, we refer to that instance still as model selection. It is an important part of any statistical analysis. The techniques used for solving it are mainly either Bayesian or data-driven, and are both based on internal knowledge. That is, they use information obtained by processing the input data. A…
Selecting the tuning parameter in penalized Gaussian graphical models
2019
Penalized inference of Gaussian graphical models is a way to assess the conditional independence structure in multivariate problems. In this setting, the conditional independence structure, corresponding to a graph, is related to the choice of the tuning parameter, which determines the model complexity or degrees of freedom. There has been little research on the degrees of freedom for penalized Gaussian graphical models. In this paper, we propose an estimator of the degrees of freedom in $$\ell _1$$ -penalized Gaussian graphical models. Specifically, we derive an estimator inspired by the generalized information criterion and propose to use this estimator as the bias term for two informatio…